In part UNO
I Discussed the first scenario, so Today we will hit the second one !
the Second type: The current situation in Jordan is heading for the better, just give it time and it will be better. The monarchy is a better system than the democracy and we must bond with whatever makes us Jordanian, and put Jordan as the first priority on our agenda!
(Oh) and if we adopt democracy the people that will be in power will not have Jordan's interest in their hearts and will ruin the country.
So in order to really appreciate were we are going a visit to were we have been in recent history is required.
Since The Inauguration
of King Abdullah
the Second in February 7, 1999 The main focus for Jordan was on 3 fronts:
- Political Reform
- Economical Reform
- Social & Educational Reform
Which are encompassed in an illusive illusion called the National Agenda, which keeps on popping up intermittently.
In terms of political reform, no seismic
. The natural flow of here comes a new cabinet and here goes a new cabinet remained.
Major questionable decision were made (e.g. the insurance policy for the cars comes to mind), and the underlying belief of the population of highly spread corruption in the political organism got re-enforced
. So all in all not much occurred
on this level.
The Social & Educational Reform has moved forwarded successfully, since Mr. Touqan
has been appointed as the head of the ministry he has been able to establish a long-term plan to improve the local schools.
With the increased inflation there has been an influx of students moving to public schools, This has put more pressure on the ministry.
Plagued with a choke corded budget, lack of resources, a head strong mentality of the educational body, and logistic complications have slowed the process considerably.
Although some people have been pessimistic
about the progress, what The minister set out
to achieve is a Herculean
task. Great strides have been achieved and the program will be implemented in the near future.
One side effect to the complete implementation
is the controversy that will arise
due to the curricula
On the social side, although the actual effects have not been felt yet but the status of Queen Rania on the philanthropic end has been enormous, the work she has been doing in that area focused a spotlight on the country again. Gave Jordan and iconic status in that area, but at the end of the day the actual effect that filtered to the population has not been as visible.
The major focus during this era has been the economic reform in 2002 the IMF program was finished, and managed to Join TWO(2000) and secure a free trade accord with the US(2001) and an association agreement with the EU(2001). Due to this the privatization of Jordan began, and Jordan became a free trade country. Aqaba
became a special economic zone which was one of the major pillars in the economical reform plan.
At this point you might be wondering why the focus is so much on the social and economical sides rather than the political side. The reason is simple, for the current system to maintain the status-quo
, the commons need to live comfortably again they will eventually forgot about the internal political side. If the economical and social pressures keep erking
that will reflect on their political activism.
Some background number the official estimate for the population is 5,906,760 (UN July 2006 est ) , with a GDP of $28.89 billion (2006 est.) at a growth of 6% (2006 est.). The distribution
of income lowest 10%:
3.3% highest 10%:
29.8% (1997). while the unemployment
rates officially stand at 15.4% official rate; while the unofficial rate is approximately 30% (2006 est.)
The national debt is 72.2% of GDP (30 September 2006 est.) down from 105.1% of GDP in 1999. finally the percent of the population under the poverty line is 30% (2001 est.) (i need to verify a source but according to what i can recall the poverty line was set at 500JOD
salary for a 6.8 member
These numbers show that the government
reform plan is succeeding
on the macroeconomical
level, and Jordan is promising investors to be a haven, so the investments constitute 24.8% of GDP (2006 est.). On the micro societal side it shows that the lower class is tightning
their belts, with
rates increasing during this period in the official and non official numbers.
With the inflation rates increasing at a 2% per year average every year since 2001 the effects are very visible to their everyday life
, this has drove the commons into a corner. Eventually it might prompt them to take action if driven any further. With the wealth distribution being typically capitalistic it will be nature effect to witness an increase in crimes and unrest.
In order to avert the situation the government
will need to move on a number of layers;
First the localization of population in the capitol, highly localized people will tend to bond together and stand for their rights. So incentive must be utilized for the population to spread.
the incentive should aim at localizing the population in the ASEZA
, to provide the work force for the development.
That means a creation of the suburb notion
in Jordan, and to market the area as a long term establishment rather than a leisure spot for the rich
with investments topping $540 million (Tala
, Aila Bay, AIIE
ceramics factory) and a major ADC capital investment plan estimated at $2,600 million will provide the employment
to the population (projected to hit almost 50000 new jobs in 2009) these numbers are according to the AZEM report
the only other incentive
required to dissipate
the population cluster is to provide free schooling in that area, and raise the level of education in the current schools. Also providing special grants for relocation will aid the process considerably.
With the bases for the political movement fragmented, opposition from the people of the lower class will be reduced. Further development in the northern border, and establishing a trade city on the Iraqi borders will help further relocation to that area, and will establish a very flourishable
service area for travellers on that route and to the neighbouring Gulf country
At this point you have dealt with the problems of over-population and unemployment, but that leaves the upper class which has been demanding political representation. To deal with this class the economical incentives will prove tempting, and their natural gluttony will help take care of the rest if we are optimistic. A readjustment
of the representation based on the population spread will manage to develop a faux
representation in the political system.
To deal with the refugee problem, a new special worker standing can be introduced to accommodate
better living standard for them, this way they will contribute more to the economical growth. Also this will prove as a stepping stone on the international scene, and will prove rewarding in terms of grants and aids. One importance for that worker status is to not be called temporary or worker, maybe special standing would be fitting, and dilute
The inflation will be regulated by the national debt, an increase in the upper class tax can be utilized to ease the effect on the lower class in terms of special privileges
(free education, food stamps ...et al
The major point to gain the public support is to extract visible elements of corruption, the media will be of a great tool in this area. the zealous nature of station akin to Al-Jazeera
may be abused to inadvertly
highlight this issue with a few public cases. Since they have the commons trust than can be utilized
the adjust the psyche of the nation.
That would require taking a few major hits, and scandals that might cause certain scares in the society but if controlled they will be able to garner much affection and economical effect than collateral. scape goats is the word.
With the economical
and social tensions relaxed that will naturally reduce the spiritual escaping and secular hemorrhage
that is being observed. As for the Iraqis, governmental
grants with association with local banks could be used as an incentive to drive them into acquiring the a special status akin
to the refugees' suggested status, this will ease up the inflation since it will drive up the GDP and increase the market liquidity.
OH well this daydreaming cycle has proved to be more challenging that I imagined, and I believe I lost focus towards the end. The general idea here is that it is achievable and for the short term. It will reflect well on the general population. The requirements is that the regional situation doesn't deteriorate any further, and the USA economy to not collapse since that will prove to be catastrophic.
Summary: points to achieve;
- Dissipate the population cluster through incentive for relocation to rural areas
- Providing a special status to the residing Iraqis and refugees
- Seriously fight corruption in a manner that is more visibly exposed to the media so it will register with the society
- readjust the political system by giving more weight to the newly populated areas in order to reduce the seat count for the capitol, and at the same time provide faux representation for the upper class
third part coming tomorrow
:DPs. please do comment since I was scatter brained when i wrote it and the only way to get a more fractal view is to discuss it
Labels: Blast, hyperbole reality, jordan